FNUS74 KLZK 091300 AAB FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE SYLVIA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 654 AM CST SAT MAR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY...WITH JUST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE INTO ARKANSAS. A GOOD SOAKING RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ON SUNDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH EXPECTED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3800 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 62 65 67 69 70 70 69 RH..............56 50 46 43 41 40 41 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 11 18 18 18 18 18 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 6 11 11 11 11 11 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 25 25 26 26 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 28 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1400 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............67 65 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 54 54 RH..............46 52 56 61 65 69 73 77 79 81 89 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 12 12 12 13 13 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 11 11 11 7 7 7 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.28 29 29 30 32 33 35 32 29 25 24 24 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 22 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1500 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............54 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 60 60 59 58 RH..............91 88 83 78 73 69 65 61 58 55 54 55 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 11 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW W W W SW S S SW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.24 21 18 16 14 14 14 17 21 24 23 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130309.LAKES.01/LZK