FNUS73 KPAH 091440 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR JASPER...MTNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 840 AM CST SAT MAR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 CST ON MARCH 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH THE QUAD STATE REGION CAUGHT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST...BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY ALONG WITH MILD CONDITIONS. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT...AND OVER REST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. WITH DRY WEATHER... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO DIP INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN AGAIN EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............49 51 55 58 61 63 65 65 65 64 RH..............63 63 57 53 49 46 45 45 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 8 9 10 10 11 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 25 25 25 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.3 2.5 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 16 21 25 28 29 29 26 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 36 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 59 57 55 53 52 RH..............54 62 69 77 86 93 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....600 200 300 400 500 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 15 S 16 S 21 S 21 S 20 CWR.............0 0 0 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 54 56 57 RH..............96 90 77 67 20 FT WIND......S 9G15 S 8G15 SW 7G10 SW 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1200 2200 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 29 W 22 SW 16 CWR.............100 100 90 90 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130309.JASPE.01/PAH