FNUS73 KPAH 091627 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST TRACT...SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1027 AM CST SAT MAR 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 CST ON MARCH 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH THE QUAD STATE REGION CAUGHT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST...BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY ALONG WITH MILD CONDITIONS. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT...AND OVER REST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. WITH DRY WEATHER... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO DIP INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN AGAIN EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............52 55 59 61 63 63 63 62 RH..............52 47 42 41 39 41 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.0 2.2 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 20 22 23 20 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 57 54 53 51 50 RH..............51 57 64 66 74 80 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 25 15 MIX HGT (FT)....200 BLW100 200 200 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 15 S 16 S 17 S 20 S 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................89 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 28 TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............49 53 56 58 RH..............86 80 77 69 20 FT WIND......S 10G15 S 10G15 S 11G25 SW 7G10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 2100 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 31 S 35 SW 24 CWR.............90 90 100 100 HAINES INDEX....5 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...GREG BURKHART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130309.WESTT.02/PAH