FNUS72 KTAE 090803
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 111...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
303 AM EST SAT MAR 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...EASTERLY WINDS OFF THE COOL SHELF WATERS OF APALACHEE
BAY WILL LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL
BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY. THUS...EXPECT SMOKE TO DISPERSE
BUT BE TRANSPORTED SLIGHTLY CLOSER TO THE SURFACE THAN YESTERDAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS NEAR THE
BURN SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AROUND 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...DEEPENING TO
                    BETWEEN 2500 AND 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 48.
ERC.................AROUND 20.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........55     55     55     55     55
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
TEMP............55     64     69     70     69
RH..............65     44     35     33     35
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 7    SE 10  SE 8   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN 13.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     50     50     50     50     45
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....HAZE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     61     57     54     54     53
RH..............39     49     58     68     75     84
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 2   SE 1   E 2    E 3    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10     10     15

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 3000 TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 73.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........45     39     36     36     34     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     55     62     69     71     71
RH..............90     86     71     57     53     52
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     15

$$

FORECASTER...DONAL HARRIGAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130309.BURNU.01/TAE