FNUS74 KBMX 101215 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 29...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 715 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MARCH 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE HAS BEEN RATHER SLOW TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. HAVE UNDERCUT ALL MODEL GUIDANCE FOR DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED DEWPOINTS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON COULD FALL INTO THE 27 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MANY AREAS. DO NOT ANTICIPATE HAVING TO ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING CONSIDERING THE AFOREMENTIONED RH VALUES. WINDS COULD BE QUITE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WIND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25 TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH OF 30 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. EVEN THOUGH CONDITIONS MAY NOT MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH RH VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A RETURN TO DRIER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS BEHIND THE FRONT BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 66 73 74 74 RH..............49 43 36 31 32 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 13 S 13 S 15 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2400 3600 4700 5000 TRANSPORT WIND..150/18 150/24 170/26 170/29 170/30 DISPERSION......16 51 70 86 91 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............73 67 62 59 59 58 RH..............34 47 63 66 69 76 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 9 S 10 S 9 S 8 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 25 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 50 50 50 50 50 MIX HGT (FT)....4600 3400 2100 1200 800 700 TRANSPORT WIND..180/30 170/30 170/28 170/22 170/20 160/20 DISPERSION......88 77 54 20 18 18 .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 58 58 58 58 58 RH..............75 77 82 73 65 61 20 FT WIND......S 7 SE 7 S 8 W 7 W 7 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 15 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 100 100 100 100 100 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1700 1600 1800 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..170/18 180/16 200/14 280/10 300/10 300/16 DISPERSION......16 14 15 18 19 34 $$ FORECASTER...GRANTHAM REQUESTED BY...JACOB THELEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130310.COMPA.02/BMX