FNUS74 KBMX 101236 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR RAVEN ROCK...USDA FOREST SERVICE, SHOAL CREEK RD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 736 AM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE HAS BEEN RATHER SLOW TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. HAVE UNDERCUT ALL MODEL GUIDANCE FOR DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED DEWPOINTS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON COULD FALL INTO THE 27 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MANY AREAS. DO NOT ANTICIPATE HAVING TO ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING CONSIDERING THE AFOREMENTIONED RH VALUES. WINDS COULD BE QUITE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WIND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25 TO 30 MPH. EVEN THOUGH CONDITIONS MAY NOT MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH RH VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A RETURN TO DRIER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS BEHIND THE FRONT BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 59 69 70 69 RH..............43 36 28 28 30 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 9 SE 12 S 12 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2300 3400 4000 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..150/22 150/25 160/24 160/24 160/21 DISPERSION......15 70 61 67 67 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 62 57 55 54 53 RH..............32 43 57 65 73 80 20 FT WIND......S 8 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 800 600 500 600 700 TRANSPORT WIND..160/18 160/17 150/20 160/21 170/17 160/14 DISPERSION......47 18 17 14 12 9 .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 54 59 63 63 63 RH..............81 81 71 59 57 57 20 FT WIND......S 6 SE 8 SE 10 S 7 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 20 15 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 100 100 100 100 100 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1300 2600 2600 2400 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..160/15 160/23 180/32 180/30 170/25 160/22 DISPERSION......10 26 43 66 53 44 $$ FORECASTER...GRANTHAM REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130310.RAVEN.01/BMX