FNUS74 KBMX 101706 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR TIME CHANGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1206 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1157 CDT ON MARCH 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE HAS FINALLY STARTED TO INCREASE THIS MORNING. STILL GOING UNDER GUIDANCE FOR DEWPOINTS AND THAT IS KEEPING RH VALUES LOW. HOWEVER...THE VALUES ARE HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TEMPERATURES ARE A TOUCH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED AS WELL...SO DESPITE THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD STILL FALL INTO THE 27 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. DO NOT ANTICIPATE HAVING TO ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING CONSIDERING THE AFOREMENTIONED RH VALUES. WINDS COULD BE QUITE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WIND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 20 TO 30 MPH. EVEN THOUGH CONDITIONS MAY NOT MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH RH VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A RETURN TO DRIER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS BEHIND THE FRONT BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 24 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 89. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 71 73 RH..............36 29 25 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 4200 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..160/25 160/24 160/24 DISPERSION......84 92 91 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....88 DECREASING TO 10. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 63 58 56 55 54 RH..............29 41 54 64 69 73 20 FT WIND......SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 SE 13 SE 12 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 25 20 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1600 800 700 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND..160/24 160/22 160/20 170/21 170/20 170/16 DISPERSION......88 46 20 14 13 11 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 18 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 28 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 88 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 71 DECREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 40. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 55 60 64 64 64 RH..............73 73 67 60 58 56 20 FT WIND......S 15 SE 8 SE 10 S 7 S 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 15 15 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 100 100 100 100 100 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 3300 2700 2200 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..170/16 170/25 180/37 180/31 170/24 160/21 DISPERSION......14 28 49 71 49 42 $$ FORECASTER...JAARON REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130310.TIMEC.01/BMX