FNUS75 KBOU 111539 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR AG RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 937 AM MDT MON MAR 11 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN PLAINS TODAY. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS NORTH OF THE SITE THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH DRY CONDITIONS AT THE SITE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE BY THE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR ADEQUATE SMOKE DISPERSION. AT THE SURFACE...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EVENING WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. ON TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS COLORADO. ALTHOUGH TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH TO PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND. TRANSPORT WINDS LOOK TO BE LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHICH COULD LIMIT AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MIN HUMIDITY........31-35%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5000-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-21. MAX HUMIDITY........84-88%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-9 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTH TO EAST 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-45. MIN HUMIDITY........38-42%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR AG RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/11-09 71 0 0 24 55 WNW 13 21 3 1 NW 46 1233 WNW 37 39182 P 03/11-10 71 0 0 30 46 WNW 13 21 3 1 NW 49 2393 WNW 40 89684 G 03/11-11 71 0 0 36 39 WNW 13 21 2 1 NW 53 3552 WNW 44140186 V 03/11-12 68 0 0 41 34 WNW 13 21 2 1 WNW 58 4712 NW 46190688 E 03/11-13 68 0 0 44 32 WNW 13 20 2 1 WNW 60 5208 NW 45204718 E 03/11-14 68 0 0 45 31 W 12 20 2 1 WNW 62 5705 WNW 45218748 E 03/11-15 71 0 0 44 32 W 12 18 2 1 WNW 64 6201 WNW 44232778 E 03/11-16 71 0 0 42 35 W 12 18 2 1 NW 67 5631 WNW 41206374 E 03/11-17 71 0 0 39 39 WNW 10 17 2 1 NW 69 5061 WNW 40179970 E 03/11-18 64 5 1 36 44 WNW 10 16 2 1 NW 69 4491 WNW 39153567 E 03/11-19 64 5 1 33 49 WNW 9 15 2 1 NW 66 3141 WNW 33105047 V 03/11-20 64 5 1 30 56 WNW 8 13 2 1 NW 60 1790 WNW 28 56528 F 03/11-21 64 5 1 27 63 WNW 7 7 2 1 NW 56 439 WNW 21 8008 P 03/11-22 64 5 1 26 65 W 7 7 2 1 NW 56 1179 WNW 25 30288 P 03/11-23 64 5 1 25 68 W 8 14 2 1 NW 59 1920 WNW 29 52568 F 03/12-00 58 6 1 24 71 W 9 15 2 1 NW 61 2660 WNW 32 74847 G 03/12-01 58 6 1 23 75 W 9 15 2 1 NW 61 2656 WNW 30 69512 G 03/12-02 58 6 1 22 80 W 9 15 2 1 NW 61 2653 WNW 28 64177 G 03/12-03 58 6 1 21 84 W 9 15 2 1 NW 60 2649 WNW 25 58842 F 03/12-04 58 6 1 20 86 W 8 14 2 1 NW 60 2468 WNW 22 48803 F 03/12-05 58 6 1 19 88 W 8 8 2 1 NW 60 2287 WNW 18 38763 P 03/12-06 54 0 0 20 84 W 7 7 2 1 NW 58 2106 WNW 16 28724 P 03/12-07 54 0 0 21 83 W 7 7 2 1 NW 52 1863 WNW 16 25937 P 03/12-08 54 0 0 23 80 W 7 7 2 1 NW 44 1619 WNW 17 23150 P 03/12-09 54 0 0 27 71 W 8 13 2 1 NW 36 1376 WNW 17 20362 P 03/12-10 54 0 0 31 61 W 8 8 2 1 NW 33 2273 WNW 18 36937 P 03/12-11 54 0 0 36 50 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 31 3171 WNW 18 53512 F 03/12-12 16 0 0 40 42 WNW 7 7 2 1 WNW 30 4068 WNW 20 70086 G 03/12-13 16 0 0 43 38 WNW 7 7 2 1 WNW 31 4819 WNW 20 84214 G 03/12-14 16 0 0 44 38 WNW 8 8 2 1 WNW 32 5569 WNW 21 98341 G 03/12-15 16 0 0 44 38 WNW 8 8 2 1 WNW 33 6320 WNW 21112468 V 03/12-16 16 0 0 42 41 WNW 7 7 2 1 WNW 33 5456 W 20 92473 G 03/12-17 16 0 0 40 44 WNW 7 7 2 1 WNW 35 4591 W 17 72478 G 03/12-18 48 0 0 37 50 WNW 6 6 2 1 WNW 35 3727 W 16 52482 F 03/12-19 48 0 0 34 57 WNW 6 6 2 1 WNW 33 3050 W 16 42811 F 03/12-20 48 0 0 31 66 W 6 6 2 1 WNW 32 2374 W 16 33139 P 03/12-21 48 0 0 28 75 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 31 1698 W 16 23467 P 03/12-22 48 0 0 26 77 W 8 8 2 1 WNW 30 1311 W 16 18271 P 03/12-23 48 0 0 25 75 W 8 8 2 1 NW 28 923 W 16 13074 P 03/13-00 27 0 0 24 74 W 9 14 2 1 NW 26 536 W 17 7877 P 03/13-01 27 0 0 24 76 W 9 15 2 1 NW 29 451 W 17 6692 P 03/13-02 27 0 0 23 82 W 10 15 2 1 NW 30 367 WNW 17 5506 P 03/13-03 27 0 0 23 84 W 10 16 2 1 NW 31 283 WNW 17 4321 P 03/13-04 27 0 0 22 84 W 10 16 2 1 NW 30 284 WNW 17 4306 P 03/13-05 27 0 0 22 79 W 10 16 2 1 NW 26 286 WNW 17 4290 P 03/13-06 18 0 0 23 74 W 10 16 2 1 NW 24 287 WNW 17 4275 P 03/13-07 18 0 0 24 76 W 10 15 2 1 NW 24 354 WNW 16 5035 P 03/13-08 18 0 0 27 75 W 10 15 2 1 NW 25 420 WNW 16 5794 P 03/13-09 18 0 0 31 69 W 9 14 2 1 NW 26 487 WNW 15 6554 P 03/13-10 18 0 0 36 57 W 8 8 2 1 NW 26 2550 WNW 15 31579 P 03/13-11 18 0 0 41 47 W 7 7 2 1 NW 25 4614 NW 15 56605 F 03/13-12 18 0 0 46 38 W 6 6 2 1 NW 25 6677 NW 14 81631 G 03/13-13 18 0 0 48 37 W 6 6 2 1 NW 26 6935 NW 14 85058 G 03/13-14 18 0 0 49 36 W 6 6 2 1 NW 26 7194 NW 14 88485 G 03/13-15 18 0 0 49 37 W 6 6 2 1 NW 26 7452 WNW 14 91912 G 03/13-16 18 0 0 47 40 W 6 6 2 1 NW 25 6597 WNW 14 77966 G 03/13-17 18 0 0 45 43 WNW 6 6 2 1 NW 25 5743 WNW 13 64021 G 03/13-18 15 0 0 42 47 WNW 6 6 2 1 NW 23 4888 WNW 12 50076 F 03/13-19 15 0 0 39 51 WNW 6 6 1 03/13-20 15 0 0 35 58 W 7 7 1 03/13-21 15 0 0 32 63 W 7 7 1 03/13-22 15 0 0 30 66 W 8 8 1 03/13-23 15 0 0 30 63 W 8 8 1 03/14-00 10 0 0 30 61 W 9 14 1 03/14-01 10 0 0 29 60 W 9 15 1 03/14-02 10 0 0 28 60 W 10 15 1 03/14-03 10 0 0 28 57 W 10 15 1 03/14-04 10 0 0 27 58 W 10 15 1 03/14-05 10 0 0 27 57 W 9 15 1 03/14-06 15 0 0 28 55 W 9 14 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI REQUESTED BY...DISTRICT FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130311.AGRAN.01/BOU