FNUS75 KBOU 111305 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE RX PILES...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 700 AM MDT MON MAR 11 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MARCH 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS OVER THE AREA. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. IF THERE IS SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE 2 INCHES OR LESS. THERE IS ENOUGH WIND AND INSTABILITY FOR VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL. A WARM AND DRY PERIOD WILL FOLLOW THROUGH THIS WEEK AND PROBABLY THE WEEKEND WITH LESS WIND...BUT THERE SHOULD STILL BE GOOD OR BETTER SMOKE DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41. MIN HUMIDITY........36-40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000 FT AGL BY 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 45-50 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 45-50 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 35-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 0300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-42. MIN HUMIDITY........41-45%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE RX PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/11-06 62 5 1 16 73 WSW 14 22 3 1 NW 52 452 W 30 11733 P 03/11-07 62 5 1 15 81 WSW 16 25 3 1 NW 54 839 W 32 25403 P 03/11-08 62 5 1 17 79 W 17 28 2 1 NW 55 1226 W 35 39072 P 03/11-09 62 5 1 21 71 W 18 30 2 1 NW 59 1614 W 38 52742 F 03/11-10 62 5 1 26 60 W 20 30 2 1 NW 63 3292 WNW 40120050 V 03/11-11 62 5 1 30 52 W 20 31 2 1 NW 69 4971 WNW 41187358 E 03/11-12 77 26 6 34 45 W 20 31 2 1 NW 74 6649 WNW 44254666 E 03/11-13 77 26 6 38 39 W 21 32 2 1 NW 76 7430 WNW 46299040 E 03/11-14 77 26 6 39 38 W 22 35 2 1 NW 77 8211 WNW 48343414 E 03/11-15 81 26 6 38 40 W 22 35 2 1 NW 77 8992 WNW 49387788 E 03/11-16 81 26 6 36 44 W 22 36 2 1 NW 77 7889 WNW 49339114 E 03/11-17 81 26 6 33 51 W 22 35 2 1 NW 77 6785 WNW 49290440 E 03/11-18 85 52 28 30 58 W 21 33 2 1 NW 76 5682 WNW 49241767 E 03/11-19 85 52 28 28 63 W 18 30 2 1 NW 76 5320 WNW 48225875 E 03/11-20 85 52 28 27 65 W 16 25 2 1 NW 76 4958 WNW 48209983 E 03/11-21 85 52 28 26 68 W 14 22 2 1 NW 76 4596 WNW 48194092 E 03/11-22 85 52 28 25 73 W 13 21 2 1 NW 76 4599 WNW 47190353 E 03/11-23 85 52 28 24 79 W 13 20 2 1 NW 75 4602 WNW 47186614 E 03/12-00 84 46 23 24 81 W 13 21 2 1 NW 74 4605 WNW 46182875 E 03/12-01 84 46 23 23 84 W 13 21 2 1 NW 74 4523 WNW 43169460 E 03/12-02 84 46 23 23 82 W 14 22 2 1 NW 74 4440 WNW 40156045 E 03/12-03 84 46 23 22 84 W 14 22 2 1 NW 74 4358 WNW 38142630 V 03/12-04 84 46 23 22 84 W 13 21 2 1 NW 71 4240 WNW 36133216 V 03/12-05 84 46 23 21 87 W 12 18 2 1 NW 70 4122 WNW 35123802 V 03/12-06 75 10 2 22 84 W 10 16 2 1 NW 66 4004 WNW 33114389 V 03/12-07 75 10 2 23 82 W 10 16 2 1 NW 61 3560 WNW 32 99983 G 03/12-08 75 10 2 25 76 W 10 17 2 1 NW 55 3116 WNW 32 85577 G 03/12-09 75 10 2 28 69 W 12 18 2 1 NW 48 2672 WNW 31 71171 G 03/12-10 75 10 2 31 62 W 12 17 2 1 NW 46 3635 WNW 31 96356 G 03/12-11 75 10 2 34 56 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 44 4597 WNW 30121541 V 03/12-12 46 10 2 37 50 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 41 5560 WNW 30146726 V 03/12-13 46 10 2 39 46 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 40 5880 WNW 30151213 E 03/12-14 46 10 2 40 43 W 12 17 2 1 WNW 40 6200 WNW 29155700 E 03/12-15 46 10 2 39 44 W 12 17 2 1 WNW 40 6521 WNW 29160186 E 03/12-16 46 10 2 37 47 W 12 17 2 1 WNW 40 5700 WNW 29140843 V 03/12-17 46 10 2 34 53 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 40 4880 WNW 29121499 V 03/12-18 41 10 2 31 61 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 39 4060 W 29102155 V 03/12-19 41 10 2 28 69 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 38 3407 W 29 84681 G 03/12-20 41 10 2 26 77 W 12 16 2 1 WNW 37 2753 W 28 67207 G 03/12-21 41 10 2 25 81 W 12 17 2 1 WNW 36 2099 W 28 49733 F 03/12-22 41 10 2 24 85 W 12 17 2 1 WNW 36 1906 W 28 45263 F 03/12-23 41 10 2 24 85 W 13 18 2 1 NW 36 1713 W 28 40793 F 03/13-00 30 0 0 25 81 W 13 20 2 1 NW 36 1520 W 28 36323 P 03/13-01 30 0 0 25 82 W 14 21 2 1 NW 33 1513 W 26 35057 P 03/13-02 30 0 0 25 82 W 15 22 2 1 NW 32 1506 W 25 33791 P 03/13-03 30 0 0 25 81 W 15 23 2 1 NW 30 1499 W 25 32525 P 03/13-04 30 0 0 24 81 W 15 22 2 1 NW 28 1295 W 25 28329 P 03/13-05 30 0 0 24 77 W 14 22 2 1 NW 26 1092 W 25 24132 P 03/13-06 8 0 0 24 74 W 14 21 2 1 NW 25 889 W 25 19936 P 03/13-07 8 0 0 26 70 W 14 21 2 1 NW 26 1416 W 25 29867 P 03/13-08 8 0 0 28 68 W 14 21 3 1 NW 29 1944 W 24 39798 P 03/13-09 8 0 0 31 63 W 14 21 3 1 NW 31 2471 WNW 23 49729 F 03/13-10 8 0 0 36 53 W 13 20 3 1 NW 30 4405 WNW 21 73111 G 03/13-11 8 0 0 40 46 W 12 17 2 1 NW 29 6339 WNW 18 96493 G 03/13-12 8 0 0 44 40 W 10 16 2 1 NW 28 8273 WNW 16119874 V 03/13-13 8 0 0 46 37 W 10 15 2 1 NW 28 8290 WNW 16118695 V 03/13-14 8 0 0 47 35 W 10 15 2 1 NW 26 8307 WNW 16117516 V 03/13-15 8 0 0 46 37 W 10 16 2 1 NW 26 8323 WNW 16116337 V 03/13-16 8 0 0 43 41 W 10 16 2 1 NW 26 7043 WNW 17101753 V 03/13-17 8 0 0 39 48 W 10 16 2 1 NW 28 5763 WNW 17 87169 G 03/13-18 16 0 0 36 54 W 10 16 2 1 NW 28 4482 WNW 18 72585 G 03/13-19 16 0 0 33 61 W 10 15 1 03/13-20 16 0 0 32 63 W 10 15 1 03/13-21 16 0 0 31 66 W 10 16 1 03/13-22 16 0 0 30 69 W 10 16 1 03/13-23 16 0 0 30 69 W 12 16 1 03/14-00 12 0 0 29 72 W 12 17 1 03/14-01 12 0 0 30 67 W 12 17 1 03/14-02 12 0 0 30 64 W 12 18 1 03/14-03 12 0 0 29 63 W 12 18 1 03/14-04 12 0 0 29 61 W 12 18 1 03/14-05 12 0 0 28 61 W 12 17 1 03/14-06 18 0 0 28 60 W 12 17 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130311.BEARL.01/BOU