FNUS73 KLSX 131429
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROEMMELSIEK...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
929 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN SPEED THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE TURNING CALM TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA
FROM THE WEST.  CURRENT FUEL MOISTURE AT THE RAWS SITE IN SULLIVAN
IS 14 PERCENT...AND MAY FALL TO AROUND 10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE
30-35 PERCENT RANGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 42.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE...NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 5 MPH WITH
                    GUST TO 8 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10133 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT WIND.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (12773 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130313.BROEM.01/LSX