FNUS74 KLZK 131042 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 542 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL A DRY FORECAST FOR TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR TODAY AND DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO MINIMUM VALUES IN THE LOWER TO UPPER 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 12 MPH...AND COMBINED...COULD ENHANCE ANY WILD FIRES THAT FORM. OTHERWISE...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES VALUES COME UP A BIT ON THURSDAY BUT REMAIN IN THE 30 PERCENT LEVELS. BETTER MOISTURE RETURNS TO ARKANSAS OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE LATER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH THRU THE DAY. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............44 47 50 52 54 56 56 56 RH..............43 36 31 26 25 24 25 28 20 FT WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 5 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 10 10 9 9 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WEST WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............55 52 50 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 41 RH..............28 31 35 39 42 44 47 50 52 55 57 54 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W SW SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW W W W SW SW S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............40 39 41 45 50 54 58 62 65 67 68 68 RH..............57 59 59 53 48 43 39 36 35 34 34 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 6 8 9 12 13 13 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 7 8 11 12 14 14 12 12 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 7 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 10 12 14 15 16 17 17 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130313.MILLC.01/LZK