FNUS73 KPAH 131438 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON CO LANDFILL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 938 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ANY LINGERING CLOUD STREAKS AND ISOLATED FLURRIES SHOULD MOVE AWAY FROM THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA FROM IGNITION TIME THROUGH NOON. THIS WILL KEEP WIND NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS IN THE AREA DURING THE MORNING HOURS. TWENTY FOOT AND MIXING HEIGHT WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. MIXING HEIGHTS AND WINDS WILL DROP SHARPLY BY SUNSET...WELL BELOW THE 1700 FOOT MINIMUMS. THE MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD REACH ABOVE MINIMUM THRESHOLDS BY NOON ON THURSDAY...AS WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BEHIND A DEPARTING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 42. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-5800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 37 39 40 41 41 41 40 RH..............50 47 42 41 39 39 39 43 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.8 5.5 3.9 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.26 24 23 25 26 26 21 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 36 35 33 33 32 31 31 31 30 30 30 RH..............45 50 55 57 59 61 63 63 66 67 68 70 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 3 3 5 5 6 5 3 2 2 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 900-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............29 31 35 39 43 46 49 52 53 54 54 52 RH..............72 70 62 55 49 45 41 40 41 41 44 47 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 5 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 1.8 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 9 12 13 15 16 20 22 23 18 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...GREG BURKHART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130313.JOHNS.02/PAH