FNUS73 KPAH 131255 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA11...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 755 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL BRING LOTS OF CLEAR SKY AND COLD TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW TODAY AND THURSDAY...THEN INCREASE ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 43. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL AT IGNITION... INCREASING TO 5100-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 40 40 41 42 42 42 41 RH..............47 45 42 41 38 38 38 41 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 23 23 23 22 18 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 35 32 31 30 29 RH..............44 55 60 64 66 68 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4700 1600 BLW100 300 300 100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 3 NW 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54. RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............28 38 48 53 RH..............69 53 36 36 20 FT WIND......SW 1 S 3G5 SW 5G10 SW 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2100 3200 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SW 8 W 13 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...JOHN PAUL HART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130313.TA11_.01/PAH