FNUS74 KBMX 142131
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAVE ROCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
431 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 CDT ON MARCH 14.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR A LITTLE
WHILE LONGER THIS AFTERNOON AND A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THRU 6 PM. NO OTHER FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ANTICIPATED BEYOND TODAY AS MOISTURE VALUES WILL
SLOWLY BE ON THE INCREASE. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. CHANCES FOR
FOG TONIGHT IN THE BURN AREA OVERALL ARE LOW AS CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY. ALSO SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WOULD
ALSO HELP TO HINDER FOG DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...WITH TRANSPORT
WINDS BECOMING FAIRLY LIGHT TONIGHT ANY LINGERING SMOKE FROM THE
BURN MAY HAVE TROUBLE DISPERSING.

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     45     41     40     39     38
RH..............32     42     59     62     65     71
20 FT WIND......NW 3   W 2    W 1    N 0    N 0    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      <5     <5     <5     <5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   1500   300    100    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..290/12 290/8  280/2  230/3  210/4  210/5
DISPERSION......40     15     1      2      2      3

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     42     53     61     66     70
RH..............80     72     56     49     47     45
20 FT WIND......W 1    W 2    W 3    W 7    W 10   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.<5     5      5      15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....100    500    1600   4300   6000   5700
TRANSPORT WIND..210/7  220/12 250/21 260/23 260/25 260/26
DISPERSION......3      5      9      117    114    116

$$
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130314.RAVER.02/BMX