FNUS73 KSGF 140838 AAA FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLE S NEST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 338 AM CDT THU MAR 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...UPDATED BASED ON MORNING FORECAST... MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY TODAY...AND SOMEWHAT GUSTY AT TIMES. WINDS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY DURING THE EARLY EVENING...AS THE SUN BEGINS TO SET AND BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING DECREASES. RH PERCENTAGES TODAY WILL DROP INTO THE 30S FOR MOST PLACES...THOUGH LOCALIZED AREAS DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE. FRIDAY WILL BRING EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS...WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 80 AT THE BURN SITE. RH VALUES WILL BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAY...THOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONSIDERABLY LIGHTER. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 65 66 RH..............31 29 31 20 FT WIND......SW 11 SW 12 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1900 2000 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 26 SW 30 SW 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 62 58 55 52 50 RH..............33 41 52 65 74 79 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 2 W 2 W 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1000 400 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 W 24 W 21 W 18 W 18 W 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 4 4 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT EARLY BECOMING STRONGER FROM THE SW. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 50 61 71 76 77 RH..............86 77 56 39 32 31 20 FT WIND......SW 2 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 20 25 30 MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 500 1300 2300 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 SW 24 SW 23 SW 23 SW 26 SW 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS TURING TO NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH EARLY SAT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 40 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 69 65 62 59 56 52 54 60 63 65 65 RH..............36 44 52 54 57 65 76 74 60 53 50 50 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 W 4 W 2 NW 2 N 2 NE 4 E 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2200 500 400 400 400 300 400 800 2500 3500 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 39 SW 40 SW 38 SW 33 SW 29 W 23 W 18 NW 15 N 14 NE 14 NE 16 NE 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BOXELL REQUESTED BY...TIM SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130314.EAGLE.01/SGF