FNUS73 KUNR 141135
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAPPY S PASTURE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
535 AM MDT THU MAR 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND VERY MILD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS  EARLY IN THE
MORNING WILL BECOME WEST AT 8 TO 15 MPH BY MID MORNING AS THE
ATMOSPHERE MIXES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST AND DIMINISH SLIGHTLY TOWARDS SUNSET. THE MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...MEDBOW-ROUTT NF AND THUNDER BASIN NG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130314.PAPPY.02/UNR