FNUS75 KCYS 152106
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR HEADRICK CRP...WYO GAME AND FISH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
306 PM MDT FRI MAR 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 MDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE BURN SITE
AFTER 1900 MDT THIS EVENING...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
THEN NORTHEAST AND DECREASING. BY SUNRISE...WINDS WILL HAVE
SHIFTED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING TO AROUND 13 MPH BY 1100 MDT. INCREASING CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE BURN SITE IN MORNING AS WELL AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION. LOOKING AT A 30 PERCENT
CHANCE BY 1200...BUT ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN
ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND MAY SWITCH TO THE NORTH FOR A BRIEF PERIOD WITH ANY SHOWER
ACTIVITY. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 2100 MDT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER 2100 MDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER
                    0300 MDT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING POOR OVERNIGHT
                    (1500-78400 KNOT-FT).
.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 11 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16200-34500 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER 2100 MDT.
CWR.................25 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    2100 MDT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD IN THE EVENING...BECOMING POOR OVERNIGHT
                    (1500-34400 KNOT-FT).



$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR
REQUESTED BY...RYAN AMUNDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130315.HEADR.01/CYS