FNUS74 KBMX 161509 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLMES CHAPEL...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1009 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL APPROACH 25 PERCENT TODAY. HOWEVER...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLD VALUES. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AND WILL BE GUSTY UP TO 25 MPH AT THE WILDFIRE LOCATION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. DISPERSION SHOULD BE GOOD THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DECENT MIXING HEIGHTS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 61 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 78 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 64. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 67 72 74 RH..............53 46 40 38 20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2700 3700 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..240/23 240/24 240/23 250/21 DISPERSION......26 55 61 78 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 67 62 59 57 52 RH..............39 49 57 64 69 83 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 400 500 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..230/18 230/14 220/10 220/8 210/7 200/8 DISPERSION......43 8 7 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 65. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 53 59 66 72 74 RH..............87 86 72 58 50 46 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 600 1700 3600 4700 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..200/7 210/10 210/17 210/18 210/17 200/16 DISPERSION......5 7 19 65 69 62 $$ FORECASTER...GLEASON REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130316.HOLME.01/BMX