FNUS75 KBOU 161610 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GALENA...POUDRE FIRE AUTHORITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1010 AM MDT SAT MAR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0947 MDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. DIURNAL EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...WHEN A SWITCH TO WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IS LIKELY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND/OR OUTFLOW FROM SHOWERS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...A STRONGER WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLY STRONGER WINDS BY AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE WEST. HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO DECREASE LEADING TO CONSIDERABLE FIRE DANGER. A BRIEF VERY LIGHT SHOWER OR SPRINKLE IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY BEFORE DECREASING BY TUESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHEN TEMPERATURES WILL TURN COOLER AGAIN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN BECOMING WEST/NORTHWEST 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH BY 1800. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200... THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................10 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900. WINDS WEST 18-30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH AFTER 1200. 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 10900-11900 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 35-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 17-26 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GALENA. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/16-09 90 21 4 43 55 SSE 9 9 3 1 W 32 2242 SSE 8 15795 P 03/16-10 90 21 4 45 51 SSE 10 10 3 1 W 31 4305 S 8 34058 P 03/16-11 90 21 4 47 49 SSE 12 12 3 1 W 30 6368 SSW 9 52321 F 03/16-12 74 32 11 49 46 SSE 10 10 3 1 W 29 8432 SW 9 70584 G 03/16-13 74 32 11 50 42 S 8 8 3 1 W 31 8890 WSW 12 85762 G 03/16-14 74 32 11 50 42 SW 5 5 3 1 W 35 9348 W 13100939 V 03/16-15 74 32 11 50 41 WSW 3 3 3 1 W 38 9807 W 14116116 V 03/16-16 74 32 11 49 42 W 7 7 3 1 W 40 9220 W 15122075 V 03/16-17 74 32 11 49 42 W 12 12 3 1 W 43 8633 WNW 17128033 V 03/16-18 44 8 1 47 45 WNW 15 24 3 1 WNW 43 8047 WNW 20133991 V 03/16-19 44 8 1 45 50 WNW 14 22 3 1 WNW 41 5517 WNW 15 90329 G 03/16-20 44 8 1 42 56 NW 10 10 3 1 WNW 38 2988 WNW 12 46668 F 03/16-21 44 7 1 39 62 NW 7 7 3 1 WNW 35 459 WNW 8 3006 P 03/16-22 44 4 1 37 64 NW 6 6 3 1 WNW 31 447 WNW 7 2878 P 03/16-23 44 0 1 36 67 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 28 434 W 7 2750 P 03/17-00 34 0 0 35 66 WNW 6 6 3 1 W 25 422 W 7 2623 P 03/17-01 34 0 0 34 69 W 5 5 3 1 W 28 395 W 6 2154 P 03/17-02 34 0 0 33 73 W 3 3 3 1 W 31 368 WSW 5 1686 P 03/17-03 34 0 0 31 77 WSW 2 2 3 1 W 36 341 WSW 5 1218 P 03/17-04 34 0 0 30 80 WSW 2 2 3 1 W 40 346 WSW 5 1395 P 03/17-05 34 0 0 30 81 WSW 3 3 4 1 W 44 351 WSW 5 1573 P 03/17-06 53 11 2 30 81 WSW 5 5 4 1 W 45 355 WSW 6 1751 P 03/17-07 53 11 2 31 78 WSW 5 5 4 1 W 44 616 WSW 7 3965 P 03/17-08 53 11 2 33 71 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 40 876 WSW 7 6178 P 03/17-09 53 11 2 36 63 WSW 7 7 3 1 WSW 36 1137 W 8 8392 P 03/17-10 53 11 2 40 53 WSW 9 15 3 1 W 35 4013 W 16 92252 G 03/17-11 53 11 2 44 44 W 13 20 3 1 W 33 6890 W 23176112 E 03/17-12 65 17 3 48 37 W 16 25 3 1 W 36 9766 WNW 31259972 E 03/17-13 65 17 3 50 33 W 20 32 3 1 W 43 10425 W 36326392 E 03/17-14 65 17 3 51 31 W 23 38 3 1 W 53 11083 W 40392812 E 03/17-15 65 17 3 51 29 W 26 43 3 1 W 61 11742 W 45459231 E 03/17-16 65 17 3 52 26 WNW 28 45 3 1 W 66 11866 W 46476672 E 03/17-17 65 17 3 49 27 WNW 29 46 3 1 W 68 11991 W 47494112 E 03/17-18 51 8 2 48 28 WNW 29 46 3 1 W 69 12116 W 48511553 E 03/17-19 51 8 2 45 29 WNW 28 45 3 1 W 71 11236 W 49478131 E 03/17-20 51 8 2 42 31 WNW 26 43 2 1 W 73 10355 W 49444709 E 03/17-21 51 8 2 40 31 NW 25 40 2 1 W 74 9475 W 49411288 E 03/17-22 51 8 2 38 32 NW 24 39 2 1 W 74 8896 WNW 49381238 E 03/17-23 51 8 2 36 33 WNW 24 38 2 1 W 73 8318 WNW 48351188 E 03/18-00 39 2 0 35 33 WNW 23 37 2 1 W 71 7739 WNW 47321138 E 03/18-01 39 2 0 34 34 WNW 23 37 2 1 WNW 73 7416 WNW 46296592 E 03/18-02 39 2 0 32 36 NW 22 36 2 1 WNW 74 7093 WNW 44272046 E 03/18-03 39 2 0 31 37 NW 22 35 2 1 WNW 73 6771 WNW 43247500 E 03/18-04 39 2 0 29 39 WNW 21 33 2 1 WNW 70 6384 WNW 39219103 E 03/18-05 39 2 0 27 42 WNW 20 31 2 1 WNW 67 5998 WNW 36190705 E 03/18-06 32 1 0 26 44 WNW 18 30 2 1 WNW 63 5611 WNW 33162308 E 03/18-07 32 1 0 26 44 WNW 18 29 2 1 WNW 60 5938 WNW 30154406 E 03/18-08 32 1 0 27 42 WNW 18 29 2 1 WNW 59 6264 WNW 28146505 V 03/18-09 32 1 0 29 38 WNW 18 30 2 1 WNW 58 6590 WNW 24138603 V 03/18-10 32 1 0 33 33 WNW 20 31 2 1 WNW 56 8617 WNW 28212903 E 03/18-11 32 1 0 37 28 WNW 21 33 2 1 WNW 55 10643 WNW 30287204 E 03/18-12 40 1 0 41 24 W 22 35 2 1 WNW 55 12669 WNW 33361504 E 03/18-13 40 1 0 43 22 W 23 37 2 1 WNW 56 12397 WNW 36378079 E 03/18-14 40 1 0 43 23 W 24 38 2 1 WNW 58 12126 WNW 38394654 E 03/18-15 40 1 0 43 23 W 24 39 2 1 WNW 60 11855 WNW 40411230 E 03/18-16 40 1 0 42 24 W 24 38 2 1 WNW 63 11256 WNW 43414406 E 03/18-17 40 1 0 41 25 W 23 37 2 1 WNW 68 10658 WNW 45417582 E 03/18-18 32 0 0 40 26 W 22 35 2 1 NW 71 10059 WNW 48420758 E 03/18-19 32 0 0 38 28 W 20 32 2 1 NW 73 8809 WNW 48367188 E 03/18-20 32 0 0 36 30 W 17 28 2 1 NW 73 7560 WNW 47313618 E 03/18-21 32 0 0 34 33 W 15 24 2 1 NW 71 6310 WNW 47260048 E 03/18-22 32 0 0 33 34 W 13 20 2 1 WNW 70 5804 WNW 47236768 E 03/18-23 32 0 0 32 36 W 10 16 3 1 WNW 68 5297 WNW 46213488 E 03/19-00 22 0 0 31 37 W 8 13 3 1 WNW 67 4791 WNW 46190207 E 03/19-01 22 0 0 30 40 W 8 8 3 1 WNW 68 4187 WNW 41155116 E 03/19-02 22 0 0 30 41 W 7 7 4 1 WNW 68 3584 WNW 37120024 V 03/19-03 22 0 0 29 45 W 8 13 4 1 WNW 68 2980 WNW 33 84933 G 03/19-04 22 0 0 28 49 W 8 14 4 1 WNW 66 2746 W 28 67820 G 03/19-05 22 0 0 28 51 W 9 14 4 1 WNW 62 2513 W 22 50707 F 03/19-06 32 0 0 28 53 W 9 15 4 1 WNW 58 2279 W 17 33594 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLOSE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130316.GALEN.01/BOU