FNUS74 KLZK 161115 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR M O GRAPEVINE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 615 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND BRING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAINLY TO THE 40 PERCENT LEVELS...WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH THIS MORNING...LOWER A BIT IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATER THIS EVENING AS A FRONT SAGS SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND...AS A COLD FRONT SAGS INTO ARKANSAS LATER TODAY...THEN BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER CENTRAL AREAS INTO SUNDAY. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL STAY IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE NATURAL STATE. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL THEN FILTER IN OVER THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 75. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 41 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3229 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 70 72 73 74 74 74 74 RH..............53 52 50 49 47 46 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 9 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 22 21 21 21 22 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 28 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............73 71 68 67 65 64 63 62 61 61 60 58 RH..............48 51 55 58 61 63 65 67 71 74 77 83 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.11 7 7 7 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.6 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 25 26 28 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 790 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 57 58 59 61 62 64 65 66 66 67 66 RH..............85 87 85 81 77 73 70 67 65 64 63 63 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.28 29 29 29 28 28 26 25 24 24 23 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130316.MOGRA.01/LZK