FNUS74 KLZK 161113 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 613 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0620 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND BRING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAINLY TO THE 40 PERCENT LEVELS...WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH THIS MORNING...LOWER A BIT IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATER THIS EVENING AS A FRONT SAGS SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND...AS A COLD FRONT SAGS INTO ARKANSAS LATER TODAY...THEN BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVER CENTRAL AREAS INTO SUNDAY. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL STAY IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE NATURAL STATE. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL THEN FILTER IN OVER THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................100 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3896 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............46 49 53 57 60 64 68 70 71 73 73 72 RH..............100 100 95 84 75 67 61 55 52 50 50 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.11 14 14 11 14 14 11 11 11 11 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.6 8 8 6 8 8 6 6 6 6 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 22 22 21 20 18 18 17 16 15 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT NW TO N...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............71 69 65 63 61 60 59 58 56 55 54 50 RH..............52 57 63 68 73 74 74 75 76 75 74 82 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SE E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54. RH..................MIN 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1662 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............50 50 50 51 51 52 53 53 53 53 54 53 RH..............79 76 75 73 71 70 70 69 68 68 68 68 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 14 15 16 16 17 18 18 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130316.ROCKC.01/LZK