FNUS73 KSGF 160839 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CROCKER EAST...RUSTIC HAVEN MINISTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 339 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR A TIME EARLY THIS MORNING...BEFORE WINDS TURN TO THE WEST AND THEN NORTH AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. RH VALUES WILL INITIALLY DROP DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN 45 AND 50 PERCENT. LATER THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER...VALUES WILL BEGIN TO RISE AS CLOUD COVER INCREASES BEHIND THE FRONT AND COOLER AIR BUILDS INTO THE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY THIS EVENING...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING NORTHERLY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 52 52 53 55 56 56 56 56 55 RH..............70 68 64 58 52 47 46 47 48 49 20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 37. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 49 44 43 42 40 RH..............50 56 64 70 75 82 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1600 1700 1700 1600 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 NE 16 NE 18 NE 21 NE 23 NE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 30 50 70 90 90 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 5 3 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 40. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 80 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NORTHEAST TO EAST. CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............38 37 36 37 38 40 RH..............85 87 87 84 81 81 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 600 1100 1100 800 600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 26 E 25 E 22 E 18 E 17 E 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 35. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 72 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........EAST TO SOUTH...THEN SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST. CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 37 36 36 36 35 36 36 36 44 51 52 RH..............85 93 95 90 92 100 100 100 100 72 52 46 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 3 SE 2 S 2 SW 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 NW 6 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....700 800 800 700 700 600 600 700 1100 1400 2400 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 20 E 18 SE 16 SE 14 S 15 SW 17 W 21 W 22 W 22 W 22 W 23 NW 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 60 60 60 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...BOXELL REQUESTED BY...FRANK HORNA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130316.CROCK.01/SGF