FNUS75 KBOU 191004 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FOSTER-LAURIENTI SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 404 AM MDT TUE MAR 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1951 MDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH ONLY SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE WEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE. ABOVE TIMBERLINE WIND GUSTS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 60 MPH AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY NOT GET ABOVE 30. FOR TONIGHT WINDS SHOULD DECREASE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM 5 TO 10 ABOVE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 40-50 MPH. ABOVE TIMBERLINE WINDS GUSTS FROM 50-60 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9900-10900 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 55-60 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 35-55 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 5-10. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6900 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. VERY GOOD AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7600-8600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 11500-12500 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 7300-8300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-40 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................10 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 19-28 MPH. .FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. .SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS AROUND 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FOSTER-LAURIENTI SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/19-03 42 6 1 10 63 W 35 55 3 1 WNW113 5856 W 62 313917 E 03/19-04 42 6 1 9 66 W 31 49 3 1 WNW113 5378 WNW 60 281600 E 03/19-05 42 6 1 8 69 W 28 45 4 1 WNW112 4899 WNW 59 249283 E 03/19-06 30 10 2 8 69 W 25 40 4 1 WNW109 4421 WNW 56 216967 E 03/19-07 30 10 2 10 63 W 23 37 4 1 WNW106 5390 WNW 58 270386 E 03/19-08 30 10 2 13 55 W 22 35 4 1 WNW100 6359 WNW 59 323804 E 03/19-09 29 10 2 16 49 W 21 33 4 1 WNW 96 7329 WNW 59 377223 E 03/19-10 29 10 2 20 41 W 22 35 4 1 WNW 90 8082 WNW 58 402222 E 03/19-11 29 10 2 22 37 W 23 37 4 1 WNW 85 8835 WNW 56 427221 E 03/19-12 36 10 2 25 33 W 24 39 4 1 WNW 79 9587 WNW 54 452220 E 03/19-13 36 10 2 27 31 W 24 38 4 1 WNW 76 10197 WNW 51 447941 E 03/19-14 36 10 2 29 30 WNW 23 37 4 1 WNW 74 10807 WNW 47 443662 E 03/19-15 36 10 2 28 32 WNW 22 35 4 1 WNW 71 11417 WNW 44 439383 E 03/19-16 36 10 2 25 38 WNW 21 33 4 1 WNW 69 9927 WNW 39 351643 E 03/19-17 36 10 2 21 45 WNW 20 31 4 1 NW 67 8438 WNW 35 263902 E 03/19-18 33 10 2 18 51 W 18 30 4 1 NW 64 6948 WNW 29 176161 E 03/19-19 33 10 2 16 53 W 17 28 4 1 NW 61 6367 WNW 29 160427 E 03/19-20 33 10 2 16 49 W 16 25 3 1 WNW 58 5786 WNW 29 144694 V 03/19-21 33 10 2 15 46 W 15 24 3 1 WNW 55 5205 WNW 29 128960 V 03/19-22 33 10 2 15 42 W 15 24 3 1 WNW 53 4872 WNW 28 116436 V 03/19-23 33 10 2 14 40 W 15 24 2 1 WNW 51 4538 W 26 103912 V 03/20-00 47 10 2 14 38 W 15 24 2 1 WNW 49 4205 W 25 91388 G 03/20-01 47 10 2 15 36 W 14 22 2 1 WNW 51 4442 W 25 96054 G 03/20-02 47 10 2 16 35 WNW 13 21 3 1 WNW 52 4680 W 25 100719 V 03/20-03 47 10 2 16 37 WNW 13 21 3 1 WNW 52 4917 W 24 105385 V 03/20-04 47 10 2 16 38 WNW 15 24 3 1 WNW 49 4375 W 28 102287 V 03/20-05 47 10 2 15 42 W 18 30 3 1 NW 46 3832 W 31 99188 G 03/20-06 73 13 3 16 42 W 22 35 3 1 NW 44 3289 W 33 96089 G 03/20-07 73 13 3 19 39 W 24 39 3 1 NW 43 4534 W 36 145378 V 03/20-08 73 13 3 23 35 W 26 41 3 1 WNW 41 5778 W 38 194667 E 03/20-09 73 13 3 27 32 W 28 44 3 1 WNW 41 7022 W 40 243956 E 03/20-10 73 13 3 30 30 W 29 40 3 1 WNW 41 9149 W 39 306932 E 03/20-11 73 13 3 32 28 W 29 38 3 1 WNW 40 11277 W 38 369909 E 03/20-12 79 29 8 34 28 W 29 37 3 1 WNW 41 13405 W 37 432885 E 03/20-13 79 29 8 36 29 W 28 37 3 1 WNW 43 12649 W 38 413408 E 03/20-14 79 29 8 36 32 W 26 38 3 1 WNW 43 11894 W 38 393931 E 03/20-15 79 29 8 35 38 W 25 39 3 1 WNW 44 11138 W 39 374453 E 03/20-16 79 29 8 32 47 W 25 40 3 1 WNW 43 8937 W 39 302774 E 03/20-17 79 29 8 28 59 W 24 41 3 1 WNW 41 6736 W 40 231094 E 03/20-18 88 56 32 24 71 W 24 43 3 1 WNW 39 4535 W 40 159414 E 03/20-19 88 56 32 22 83 W 23 41 3 1 WNW 33 3777 W 40 132802 V 03/20-20 88 56 32 21 87 W 23 40 3 1 WNW 28 3019 W 40 106191 V 03/20-21 88 56 32 20 91 W 23 39 3 1 WNW 25 2260 W 40 79579 G 03/20-22 88 56 32 20 90 W 25 39 3 1 W 28 2211 W 40 77026 G 03/20-23 88 56 32 20 89 W 29 39 3 1 W 32 2161 W 39 74473 G 03/21-00 91 56 32 20 88 W 31 39 3 1 W 36 2111 W 39 71920 G 03/21-01 91 56 32 21 85 W 32 38 3 1 W 33 2356 W 37 74562 G 03/21-02 91 56 32 21 85 W 33 37 3 1 W 31 2601 W 35 77204 G 03/21-03 91 56 32 20 82 W 33 35 3 1 W 29 2846 W 32 79845 G 03/21-04 91 56 32 20 87 W 32 33 3 1 W 31 2652 W 29 67831 G 03/21-05 91 56 32 19 91 W 31 31 3 1 W 35 2459 W 25 55816 F 03/21-06 91 54 29 19 92 W 30 30 3 1 W 38 2265 W 22 43801 F 03/21-07 91 54 29 20 89 W 29 28 3 1 W 39 3349 W 23 66763 G 03/21-08 91 54 29 22 82 W 29 25 3 1 W 39 4433 WSW 23 89725 G 03/21-09 91 54 29 24 76 W 28 25 3 1 W 39 5517 SW 23 112686 V 03/21-10 91 54 29 26 70 W 25 28 3 1 WSW 38 7284 WSW 25 171197 E 03/21-11 91 54 29 27 66 W 23 31 3 1 WSW 36 9051 W 29 229709 E 03/21-12 95 67 48 28 63 W 21 35 3 1 SW 32 10817 W 31 288220 E 03/21-13 95 67 48 28 61 W 21 37 3 1 SW 28 11349 W 32 314238 E 03/21-14 95 67 48 27 62 W 23 37 2 1 SW 22 11880 W 33 340256 E 03/21-15 95 67 48 26 62 W 24 37 2 1 SSW 16 12412 W 35 366275 E 03/21-16 95 67 48 24 65 W 25 37 2 1 SW 14 11642 W 36 358857 E 03/21-17 95 67 48 22 67 W 25 36 2 1 SW 12 10873 WNW 38 351440 E 03/21-18 87 57 33 20 71 W 26 35 2 1 SW 10 10103 WNW 39 344022 E 03/21-19 87 57 33 18 75 W 28 35 1 03/21-20 87 57 33 17 80 W 29 33 1 03/21-21 87 57 33 16 85 W 29 31 1 03/21-22 87 57 33 15 87 W 26 30 1 03/21-23 87 57 33 13 89 W 24 29 1 03/22-00 61 26 12 12 91 W 21 28 1 03/22-01 61 26 12 12 90 W 18 26 1 03/22-02 61 26 12 11 88 W 16 26 1 03/22-03 61 26 12 11 90 W 15 26 1 03/22-04 61 26 12 10 93 W 14 26 1 03/22-05 61 26 12 9 96 W 13 26 1 03/22-06 68 48 22 9 96 W 13 25 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RPK REQUESTED BY...TIM PHILLIPS TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130318.FOSTE.02/BOU