FNUS76 KMFR 191314
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH WARNER...BLM LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
614 AM PDT TUE MAR 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY. THIS LOW
WILL BRING A WARM FRONT INTO THE AREA TODAY FOLLOWED BY A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVING INLAND DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL SPREAD
INLAND INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL
LOWER FROM NEAR 6500 FEET TO 6000 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN DOWN TO
4000 TO 5000 FEET BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH STRONGEST WINDS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY EVENING
WITH WINDS DECREASING BY LATE EVENING AND BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST.
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THEN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY EXPECT COLDER CONDITIONS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 6
                    MPH LATE THIS MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    4000-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
                    15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND SUNSET
                    THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SNOW LEVEL 5500-6000 FEET IN THE MORNING...RISING
                    6000-6500 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO
                    15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF
                    25 TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...MATT HASKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130319.SOUTH.01/MFR