FNUS74 KLZK 201213 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR JACK CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 713 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE FOR TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 20TH TO MID 30TH PERCENTILE WITH BREEZY WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON ...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE STATE. A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL RIDE UP AND OVER COLDER SURFACE AIR AND SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND MOST OF SATURDAY AS WELL. CONDITIONS WILL START TO DRY OUT SUNDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL, .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4900 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4072 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............46 49 52 54 56 57 58 57 RH..............51 45 41 37 35 32 31 31 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 7 8 9 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 11 11 11 14 14 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 5 5 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 6 6 6 8 8 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 18 18 18 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1682 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 53 50 48 46 44 42 40 38 36 35 33 RH..............31 34 37 40 44 47 51 54 58 63 67 69 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NE NE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.11 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW N N N NE NE E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.6 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NE NE E E E E E SE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 12 9 7 5 3 2 3 5 8 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 11 11 $$ FORECASTER...55 REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130320.JACKC.01/LZK