FNUS72 KMHX 201257 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEDS CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 857 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST OVER THE REGION TODAY AND OFF THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT FROM NORTHWEST EARLY TO SOUTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE 20-25 PERCENT TODAY. A STRONG SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY. WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORTH CAROLINA MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH BECOMING NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............61 71 79 74 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 52 54 55 RH..................26 24 25 26 20 FT WIND..........N 5 N 5 N 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 ADI.................8 24 10 22 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 63 46 38 29 32 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 46 43 41 39 37 RH..................33 47 62 73 82 85 20 FT WIND..........E 3 SE 3 S 3 SW 2 W 3 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 5 5 ADI.................30 6 6 2 2 5 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 38 31 27 24 24 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RAIN NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 36 44 49 52 52 RH..................82 72 49 36 27 26 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 12 NW 14 NW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 25 25 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................12 14 33 91 90 101 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...COLE REQUESTED BY...DAVID L NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130320.NEDSC.01/MHX