FNUS72 KMLB 202233
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT CYPRESS FIRE...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
633 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1756 EDT ON MARCH 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA
PUSHES INTO THE SOUTH PENINSULA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER
INTO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA BEHIND THE FRONT WHILE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TOO TIGHT TO ALLOW WINDS TO DECOUPLE. THIS WILL
PREVENT THE FORMATION OF DENSE FOG NEAR THE BURN SITE. THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS WELL...BUT LIGHTNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED. SHOWERS WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE DRIER AIR PUSHES
INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.REST OF TONIGHT...WINDS REMAIN TOO STRONG FOR FOG FORMATION TONIGHT.


SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE
x09x09   OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY.......81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                   WEST 13 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN TO
x09x09   THE NORTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....30 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3200-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL LATE
                   IN THE NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
x09x09   32 TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
x09x09   DECREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX...24.
LVORI..............3.

TIME (EDT)         7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%)............MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.......RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP...............70  68  67  66  65  64  62  61  59  57  55  54
RH.................68  76  75  78  81  78  78  75  78  77  80  77
20 FT WIND DIR.....SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD.....6   14  14  14  12  12  12  17  17  17  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST....    20  20  20  15  15  15  25  25  25  20  20


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
LVORI...............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130320.BURNT.01/MLB