FNUS73 KJKL 201633
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR RIDGE...DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1233 PM EDT WED MAR 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER...BUT
MAINLY IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES BORDERING VA. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL GUST UP TO 30 MPH AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT AND
DRYING FUELS WILL CREATE AN ENHANCED THREAT OF WILDFIRES. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL SLACKEN CONSIDERABLY BY THURSDAY...DOWN TO BETWEEN 5 AND
10 MPH. BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL DROP TO AROUND 30
PERCENT...POSSIBLY LOWER IF AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB A BIT
HIGHER THAN EXPECTED. THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN WELL MIXED
TONIGHT...WITH THE PROBABILITY THAT A NOCTURNAL INVERSION WILL NOT
DEVELOP. THEREFORE THE DISPERSION INDEX IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
25 THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
POP.................10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........29  20  15  11  11  13  14  14  14  13  13  13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............37  34  31  28  27  26  23  20  20  22  22  21
RH..............45  51  56  60  61  64  69  78  76  70  68  68
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  10  9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST IN THE MID TEENS MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....88.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........13  13  14  16  17  18  18  17  18  19  20  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............20  21  24  27  29  31  35  36  37  37  36  35
RH..............68  64  55  49  45  41  35  33  33  34  36  38
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130321.TAYLO.01/JKL