FNUS72 KMHX 211237 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 2 2 1 ROANOKE MARSH...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 837 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONT WILL EXIT OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THROUGH TONIGHT. A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING TO AROUND 15-18 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL STILL BE ELEVATED TONIGHT WITH AMPLE MIXING IN PLACE. WIND WILL BACK TO THE WEST FRIDAY AND START TO SUBSIDE BY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 40 PERCENT TODAY AND 30 PERCENT FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............72 72 70 47 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 44 45 45 RH..................65 53 49 41 20 FT WIND..........NW 15 NW 16 NW 16 NW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 LVORI...............3 1 1 1 ADI.................30 69 90 95 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............37 31 25 21 13 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 39 37 36 35 34 RH..................41 44 46 47 49 51 20 FT WIND..........NW 15 NW 16 NW 14 NW 14 NW 14 NW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 25 25 20 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................98 100 96 35 32 32 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 6 8 8 14 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 33 40 45 48 48 RH..................56 56 46 36 31 35 20 FT WIND..........NW 10 NW 11 W 10 W 9 W 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............2 2 2 1 1 1 ADI.................29 26 25 60 82 60 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...PAGANO REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130321.221RO.01/MHX