FNUS72 KMLB 212151
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEROME...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
551 PM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1745 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT OVERNIGHT AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PUSHES ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR...WHICH WILL RESULT IN GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING THAT WILL ALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER TO DECOUPLE.
HOWEVER...VERY DRY AIR HAS PUSHED INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE WAKE
OF WEDNESDAYS COLD FRONT THAT WILL LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT.

SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE RIDGE
PUSHES OFFSHORE. THIS WILL ALLOW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO INCREASE
ACROSS THE BURN SITE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY.......86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3600-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL
                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...42 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI..............4.

TIME (EDT)         5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%)............MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV........
WEATHER TYPE.......
TEMP...............67  63  60  56  55  53  52  51  51  50  50  50
RH.................44  52  55  57  61  66  68  68  71  72  73  77
20 FT WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD.....9   7   5   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST....10


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY.......43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                   LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7
                   TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX...32.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130321.JEROM.01/MLB