FNUS73 KPAH 211540 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR FTCAMTA25_032113...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1040 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA... TWENTY FOOT AND MIXING HEIGHT WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT. AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEAKENS THE RIDGE FROM THE WEST. THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT FOR THE MOST PART...WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA. AT THIS TIME...ANY PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA WILL BE QUITE MINIMAL... SO THIS SHOULD NOT HAMPER ANY MOP-UP OPERATIONS INTO THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 1700 FOOT MINIMUMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-4300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ...THEN DECREASING TO 900-1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 38 40 41 40 39 38 RH..............36 34 33 33 36 39 42 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.3 4.0 3.4 2.6 1.7 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 6 6 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN TEMP............36 35 34 34 33 33 33 32 32 31 31 30 RH..............47 49 51 51 56 56 57 61 62 63 65 66 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W SW S S SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................39 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............29 29 31 33 34 35 37 37 38 39 39 39 RH..............69 72 71 71 71 72 70 72 76 76 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...ERIC STRICKLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130321.FTCAM.01/PAH