FNUS71 KRNK 212203 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOVER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 603 PM EDT THU MAR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1747 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD EAST INTO THE AREA TONIGHT ALLOWING WINDS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH. HOWEVER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN BELOW 30 PERCENT EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 25 MPH AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER LEVELS AND CONTINUE TO DRY OUT FUELS...ESPECIALLY THE FINE FUELS. HUMIDITY LEVELS RECOVER OVERNIGHT TO 5O TO 70 PERCENT BUT TEMPERATURES DROP TO BELOW FREEZING. FRIDAY WILL BE ANOTHER DRY DAY AS TEMPERATURES MODERATE. HUMIDITY LEVELS COULD DROP INTO THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN THE AREA...WIND SPEED SHOULD BE LESS. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD BRING ABOUT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING WINTER WEATHER...DURING THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21. MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............59 49 38 33 30 28 26 24 23 19 16 13 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................27 27 26 27 27 27 26 26 26 25 25 24 RH..................37 38 40 37 37 37 39 41 44 46 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......5.6 5.1 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....26 26 26 26 25 25 25 25 26 28 29 29 CWR.................20 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............10 7 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 13 15 17 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................23 22 22 24 27 30 33 36 39 41 42 41 RH..................52 54 55 50 44 38 33 29 27 25 24 24 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW W W NW NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 26 25 25 25 24 23 21 18 18 18 17 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...BRIAN BORDEN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130321.HOOVE.01/RNK