FNUS71 KAKQ 221335 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY GROVE UNIT 55...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 935 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT INLAND THIS AFTERNOON... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH SATURDAY. A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPAWN ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING NORTHEAST MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................26 33 40 42 45 48 49 50 48 RH..................57 43 33 29 26 23 22 22 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 2.9 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 9 10 10 12 13 13 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 20 20 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 16 16 17 18 18 20 18 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....23 39 56 64 73 81 83 82 78 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................34 49 45 49 54 57 58 58 54 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............11 11 11 18 18 18 26 26 26 31 31 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 45 44 43 41 39 37 36 35 35 34 34 RH..................27 32 36 38 37 39 42 46 49 52 54 54 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.1 3.1 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W SW SW W W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 7 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W SW SW SW W W W NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 13 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....55 34 18 10 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................10 8 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............34 34 34 42 42 42 53 53 53 51 51 51 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 32 33 36 42 47 50 51 52 53 53 53 RH..................58 61 58 54 43 37 33 33 32 32 32 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N N N N NW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N NW NW W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 5 5 5 5 6 7 9 10 10 8 7 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 1 4 7 12 18 26 33 32 28 24 LVORI...............3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................4 4 5 6 11 17 23 23 27 26 23 26 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 FORECASTER...ALEXANDER REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130322.PINEY.01/AKQ