FNUS75 KBOU 221814 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GALENA WF...POUDRE FIRE AUTHORITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1214 PM MDT FRI MAR 22 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN. GUSTY SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY...AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AFTER 2100 THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING MORE LIKELY THIS EVENING WHEN UPSLOPE DEVELOPS BEHIND THE FRONT AND SURFACE MOISTURE INCREASES. THE STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...THEN DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. AT THIS TIME ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE...BEFORE DECREASING SATURDAY EVENING. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATION COULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000-12000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-21. MAX HUMIDITY........70-74%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 6700-7700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0400. VERY GOOD AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-26. MIN HUMIDITY........62-67%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9300-10300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GALENA. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/22-11 77 10 2 35 31 S 6 6 2 1 WSW 54 9875 WSW 12106152 V 03/22-12 74 44 21 38 28 SSE 7 7 2 1 WSW 53 11478 SW 14139884 V 03/22-13 74 44 21 39 28 SSE 6 6 2 1 WSW 49 11841 SW 14146624 V 03/22-14 74 44 21 39 28 SSE 3 3 3 1 WSW 44 12203 SW 15153364 E 03/22-15 74 44 21 39 30 SSE 2 2 3 1 WSW 39 12566 SW 15160104 E 03/22-16 74 44 21 38 34 ESE 3 3 3 1 WSW 37 11592 SW 13128965 V 03/22-17 74 44 21 37 39 NE 5 5 3 1 WSW 36 10618 WSW 10 97826 G 03/22-18 85 63 42 35 45 NNE 7 7 3 1 WSW 36 9644 W 8 66687 G 03/22-19 85 63 42 34 47 NNE 9 14 3 1 WSW 36 9051 W 9 73023 G 03/22-20 85 63 42 32 50 NNE 10 17 3 1 SW 37 8457 WNW 12 79358 G 03/22-21 89 73 57 30 53 NNE 12 18 3 1 SW 38 7863 WNW 13 85694 G 03/22-22 89 73 57 28 59 NNE 12 17 3 1 SW 37 7479 WNW 13 79510 G 03/22-23 89 73 57 27 62 NNE 10 16 3 1 SW 36 7094 NW 12 73326 G 03/23-00 94 73 57 26 65 NNE 9 15 3 1 SW 33 6709 NW 12 67142 G 03/23-01 94 73 57 25 66 N 9 15 3 1 SW 30 6677 NNW 12 69209 G 03/23-02 94 73 57 24 67 N 9 15 3 1 SW 26 6646 NNW 13 71275 G 03/23-03 94 73 57 24 65 N 10 16 3 1 SW 23 6614 NNW 13 73341 G 03/23-04 94 73 57 23 69 N 12 17 3 1 SW 17 6858 N 16 96642 G 03/23-05 94 73 57 23 71 N 13 20 3 1 WSW 12 7103 N 20119944 V 03/23-06 94 80 68 22 74 N 14 22 3 1 WSW 8 7347 NNE 22143245 V 03/23-07 94 80 68 22 71 N 16 25 3 1 WNW 7 7543 NNE 25164759 E 03/23-08 94 80 68 22 67 N 18 30 3 1 NNE 9 7738 NNE 28186272 E 03/23-09 94 80 68 22 62 N 22 35 3 1 ENE 13 7934 N 30207786 E 03/23-10 94 80 68 23 62 N 21 35 3 1 ENE 15 8467 N 29213942 E 03/23-11 94 80 68 23 67 N 20 31 3 1 ENE 16 9001 N 29220099 E 03/23-12 91 47 23 23 71 N 17 28 3 1 ENE 16 9534 N 28226255 E 03/23-13 91 47 23 23 72 N 16 25 3 1 ENE 14 9889 N 25216849 E 03/23-14 91 47 23 23 70 N 15 23 3 1 NE 12 10243 N 23207442 E 03/23-15 91 47 23 23 68 N 14 22 3 1 NE 9 10598 N 22198036 E 03/23-16 91 47 23 23 65 N 14 23 3 1 NNE 8 9906 N 21175121 E 03/23-17 91 47 23 22 65 N 15 23 3 1 NNW 9 9215 N 18152206 E 03/23-18 75 19 4 21 65 N 14 22 3 1 WNW 12 8523 N 17129291 V 03/23-19 75 19 4 19 70 NNE 10 17 3 1 WNW 15 7554 N 15104664 V 03/23-20 75 19 4 17 77 NNE 7 7 3 1 WNW 20 6585 N 14 80037 G 03/23-21 75 19 4 15 84 NNE 3 3 3 1 WNW 24 5616 N 12 55410 F 03/23-22 75 19 4 14 87 N 2 2 3 1 WNW 25 5315 N 9 42999 F 03/23-23 75 19 4 14 86 NNW 2 2 3 1 WNW 26 5014 NNW 7 30588 P 03/24-00 67 10 2 13 88 NNW 2 2 3 1 WNW 25 4713 NNW 5 18177 P 03/24-01 67 10 2 10 96 NW 2 2 3 1 WNW 24 4158 NW 5 15922 P 03/24-02 67 10 2 11 88 WNW 2 2 3 1 WNW 23 3603 W 5 13667 P 03/24-03 67 10 2 12 80 WNW 2 2 3 1 NW 21 3048 WSW 5 11412 P 03/24-04 67 10 2 10 83 WNW 3 3 3 1 NW 21 2377 W 3 8482 P 03/24-05 67 10 2 9 84 WNW 5 5 3 1 WNW 21 1705 W 3 5552 P 03/24-06 69 17 3 8 87 WNW 6 6 3 1 WNW 22 1033 W 3 2622 P 03/24-07 69 17 3 8 90 NW 6 6 3 1 WNW 21 1803 W 5 8353 P 03/24-08 69 17 3 11 83 NNW 5 5 2 1 WNW 21 2572 WNW 6 14084 P 03/24-09 69 17 3 13 80 N 3 3 2 1 WNW 22 3342 WNW 7 19815 P 03/24-10 69 17 3 16 74 N 3 3 2 1 WNW 25 5478 WNW 8 41853 F 03/24-11 69 17 3 19 68 NE 3 3 2 1 WNW 30 7615 WNW 9 63891 G 03/24-12 75 28 8 20 68 ENE 3 3 2 1 WNW 33 9751 WNW 10 85930 G 03/24-13 75 28 8 21 66 ENE 5 5 2 1 WNW 35 9719 WNW 8 64280 G 03/24-14 75 28 8 22 64 ENE 5 5 3 1 W 35 9688 NW 5 42631 F 03/24-15 75 28 8 22 65 ENE 6 6 3 1 W 35 9656 NW 2 20981 P 03/24-16 75 28 8 23 63 ENE 6 6 3 1 W 33 9415 NNW 2 19848 P 03/24-17 75 28 8 22 65 ENE 6 6 3 1 W 33 9173 N 2 18714 P 03/24-18 79 27 7 21 68 ENE 6 6 3 1 W 32 8932 N 2 17581 P 03/24-19 79 27 7 19 73 ENE 5 5 3 1 W 32 8038 N 2 18791 P 03/24-20 79 27 7 18 75 NE 5 5 3 1 W 31 7145 NNW 3 20002 P 03/24-21 79 27 7 16 80 NE 3 3 3 1 W 31 6252 NNW 3 21213 P 03/24-22 79 27 7 15 83 NE 3 3 3 1 W 31 6058 NNW 5 23902 P 03/24-23 79 27 7 15 82 NE 2 2 3 1 W 31 5864 NNW 6 26591 P 03/25-00 74 25 5 14 84 NE 2 2 3 1 W 31 5670 NNW 6 29280 P 03/25-01 74 25 5 12 88 NNE 2 2 3 1 WNW 30 5689 NNW 8 37241 P 03/25-02 74 25 5 13 80 CALM 1 2 1 WNW 29 5709 NNW 9 45202 F 03/25-03 74 25 5 13 76 CALM 1 2 1 WNW 28 5728 NW 10 53164 F 03/25-04 74 25 5 12 76 CALM 1 2 1 NW 29 5317 NW 10 48213 F 03/25-05 74 25 5 11 77 CALM 1 2 1 NW 30 4906 NW 10 43263 F 03/25-06 74 14 3 10 80 CALM 1 2 1 NNW 31 4495 NW 10 38313 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLOSE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130322.GALEN.01/BOU