FNUS73 KPAH 221211 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR GROVE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 711 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW IN OUR FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON AND OFF CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...WEST KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AFTER A BRIEF LULL IN THE ACTION SATURDAY MORNING...BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION...WITH WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN BY SATURDAY EVENING AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST KENTUCKY. COLDER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND RAIN WILL BECOME A RAIN AND SNOW MIX...EVENTUALLY CHANGING TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW CHANCES WILL LINGER EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT SNOW IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 47. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN TEMP............36 39 41 44 45 46 47 46 45 RH..............54 52 48 45 45 45 45 51 55 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............44 42 40 39 38 37 RH..............60 67 73 73 79 79 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 NE 3 E 4 NE 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 1900 1200 700 600 900 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 7 E 9 E 12 E 14 E 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............37 45 50 54 RH..............72 60 52 48 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6G10 E 6G10 E 7G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2200 3000 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 17 E 16 E 15 E 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130322.CEDAR.01/PAH