FNUS72 KMLB 242058
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKEWOOK PARK...ST. LUCIE COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
458 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN
SITE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY GENERATED BY SEVERE
CONVECTION OVER THE ORLANDO AND CAPE CANAVERAL AREAS WAS LOCATED
OVER LAKE KISSIMMEE...THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE MARIAN...AND SEBASTIAN
INLET AT 4:30 PM WILL MOVE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH THROUGH SUNSET.

AT ITS PRESENT COURSE...THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE BURN
SITE BETWEEN 600 PM AND 630 PM. AN ABRUPT CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTH WILL OCCUR AS THE BOUNDARY PUSHES ACROSS THE
AREA. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL SWEEP THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH SUNSET BEHIND THE WIND SHIFT. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH AFTER
SUNSET AND SHIFT TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT BRINGS
COOL DRY AIR ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. STEADY NORTHWEST SURFACE AND
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
x09x09   THROUGH SUNSET...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
x09x09   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
x09x09   CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY.......87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 24 MPH...BECOMING WEST
x09x09   NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH BETWEEN 530 PM AND 600 PM
x09x09   AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNSET...THEN DIMINISHING
x09x09   AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH THROUGH LATE
x09x09   EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 0000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 32 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 18
x09x09   TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX...15.
LVORI..............4.

TIME (EDT)         5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%)............MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........    SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.......    TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW  RW  RW
TEMP...............88  83  80  78  78  77  76  76  75  74  73  72
RH.................45  55  65  72  73  76  80  80  82  85  85  84
20 FT WIND DIR.....SW  N   NNW NW  W   WSW SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD.....25  20  14  14  14  10  10  10  8   8   8   10
20 FT WIND GUST....35  25  20  20  20              10  10  10


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY.......30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......2100-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...50.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...TOM DALY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130324.LAKEW.01/MLB