FNUS73 KICT 251407 CCA FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKMAN PILES...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 900 AM CDT MON MAR 25 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0905 AM CDT ON MARCH 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROF AND COLD AIR ALOFT WILL SUPPORT INSTABILITY STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES TODAY AND DIURNALLY GUSTY WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. TEMPERATURE.........26 AT IGNITION...MAX 34. RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 26 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........62 63 65 67 69 71 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............26 28 30 31 32 33 33 33 33 33 RH..............78 74 69 66 64 61 58 58 60 68 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.2 2.9 3.7 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..33 33 32 30 28 26 26 26 26 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 18. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........73 70 66 63 59 55 52 46 41 35 30 24 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....SW SW TEMP............30 28 26 25 23 22 22 21 20 20 19 18 RH..............68 74 78 82 85 87 87 87 87 88 90 92 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 3.3 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..26 25 23 21 18 15 13 12 10 10 10 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........19 16 13 10 7 4 1 4 7 10 12 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............18 20 23 27 31 35 38 41 43 44 43 42 RH..............91 86 79 70 62 55 50 48 47 47 50 54 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW S MIXNG WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 6 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DARMOFAL REQUESTED BY...ERIC WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130325.JACKM.01/ICT