FNUS75 KGJT 270732
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY SPRINGS PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
132 AM MDT WED MAR 27 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WAS PASSING OVER WESTERN COLORADO
THIS EARLY MORNING PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS
AND CLOUD CEILINGS OVER THE BURN SITE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE
WELL TO THE EAST BY IGNITION TIME. OTHERWISE A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TODAY AND REMAINS THROUGH
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOUT 8 DEGREES ABOVE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON'S TEMPERATURES AND WILL BE SIMILAR AGAIN ON THURSDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR RELATIVELY DEEP AFTERNOON MIXING THAT WILL
COLLAPSE QUICKLY ON OR BEFORE SUNSET BOTH DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL INTO THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 7000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. INCREASING
                    TO GOOD AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...
                    INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130327.TURKE.01/GJT