FNUS73 KICT 271010 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKMAN PILES...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 510 AM CDT WED MAR 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SPOT OVERNIGHT. WITH PROXIMITY TO FRONT AROUND SUNSET...ANTICIPATE WINDS TO DROP SIGNIFICANTLY AT THAT TIME. DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY MAJOR WIND SHIFTS PRIOR TO FRONTS PASSAGE...ALTHOUGH SOME VEERING IS LIKELY MIDDAY PER TABULAR FORECAST BELOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........79 74 70 65 58 52 45 39 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 42 46 49 52 54 55 55 54 RH..............71 64 58 54 51 49 49 50 53 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 12 10 9 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 25 20 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.1 1.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S SE MIXNG WIND SPD..31 31 31 30 29 28 25 23 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........26 22 18 13 29 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 46 41 39 38 36 RH..............58 70 80 82 79 84 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 5 SE 5 SE 4 E 3 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....400 300 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 17 SE 15 SE 13 SE 10 E 8 E 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 64 69 82 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............35 43 53 57 RH..............90 77 64 62 20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 1 N 2 E 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 600 1900 2300 MIXNG WIND......NE 5 SW 3 N 3 E 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...HOWERTON REQUESTED BY...ERIC WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130327.JACKM.01/ICT