FNUS72 KILM 271309 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG BRANCH...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 909 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FINALLY EXTEND ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH ITS CENTER PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND. NEAR CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............86. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-51289 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (92920-143520 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............5 14 23 18 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 50 53 53 RH..................48 38 33 33 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 NW 9 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)........1200 2800 6400 6800 TRANSPORT WIND......W 10 NW 18 NW 20 NW 21 LVORI...............2 1 1 1 ADI.................18 74 67 83 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...13 51 125 140 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING. MAX ADI.............77. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52324-97519 MPH-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (0-13684 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............13 8 22 32 18 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 44 42 39 37 36 RH..................39 48 55 62 69 73 20 FT WIND..........NW 8 NW 5 NW 3 NW 3 N 4 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........4500 700 BLW100 BLW100 300 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 22 NW 18 SW 6 S 0 S 0 S 0 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 4 4 ADI.................77 21 1 1 1 1 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...98 14 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130327.HOGBR.01/ILM