FNUS74 KLZK 271132 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BEAR WEST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 632 AM CDT WED MAR 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER IN PLACE TODAY. HOWEVER... AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE IN THE 30TH PERCENTILE ACROSS THE AREA. HUMIDITY MAY DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE BURN SITE...ESPECIALLY IF WINDS ARE ABLE TO PICK UP IN SPEED. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTH...AND BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE STATE. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE ARE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3381 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 53 54 56 57 57 57 RH..............40 37 34 33 31 32 34 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 12 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 55 53 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 45 45 RH..............34 36 40 43 45 47 49 51 54 55 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SE SE S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 10 8 6 5 3 5 5 3 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3877 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 44 46 49 52 54 57 59 60 62 62 62 RH..............59 61 59 55 51 48 46 44 43 43 43 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 7 9 12 12 10 9 8 9 9 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...58 REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130327.LITTL.02/LZK