FNUS74 KLZK 281050 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIELDS KNOB...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 550 AM CDT THU MAR 28 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING TO THE WEST OF ARKANSAS PUSHES MOISTURE UP INTO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH AND INTERACTS WITH A SURFACE FRONT NEAR THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2994 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............53 55 57 58 58 58 58 RH..............58 53 51 51 51 53 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 13 14 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............58 57 55 54 53 52 51 51 50 50 49 49 RH..............56 60 65 68 71 73 75 77 80 81 83 85 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 17 18 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2313 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............48 48 49 51 53 54 56 57 58 59 59 59 RH..............87 88 86 82 78 75 72 70 69 68 68 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 17 17 16 15 15 14 13 12 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...B SMITH REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130328.SHIEL.01/LZK