FNUS72 KMLB 282251
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR W OF ST  JOHNS W OF 46...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
651 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1855 EDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH CLEAR SKIES AND NEAR CALM CONDITIONS WILL
LEAD TO RH VALUES RISING TO NEAR 90 PERCENT LATE TONIGHT...THE
LVORI VALUE OF 5 IS A FUNCTION OF JUST HOW DRY THE LOCAL AIR MASS
IS. THIS MAKES DEVELOPMENT OF A FOG AND SMOKE MIXTURE DIFFICULT,
AND IF ANY DEVELOPS TONIGHT, IT IS LIKELY TO BE VERY SHALLOW,
LOCALIZED AND CONFINED TO AREAS IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT TO SMOLDERING
SPOTS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  59  58  57  56  55  54  52  51  50  49  48
RH..............43  47  50  53  56  58  60  61  65  68  70  76
20 FT WIND DIR..N   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130328.WOFST.02/MLB