FNUS75 KBOU 010009 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL RX...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 608 PM MDT SUN MAR 31 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING RESULTING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY READINGS ON MONDAY. THIS MAY LIMIT SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE FAIR CATEGORY... ALTHOUGH JUST A FEW BREAKS OF SUNSHINE AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS COULD BOOST IT INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM AN EAST/SOUTHEAST DIRECTION... ALTHOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE OF A MORE NORTHERLY WIND IF A DENVER CYCLONE WIND PATTERN DEVELOPS. THE MAIN CHANCE OF SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0900. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........48%. WIND (20 FT)........EAST/SOUTHEAST 8-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FEET UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. POSSIBLY GOOD 1300-1700. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...COOLER...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/31-17 0 0 0 68 14 NNW 10 16 4 1 WNW 25 16512 NW 21303902 E 03/31-18 1 0 0 68 15 NNW 9 14 4 1 WNW 26 16583 NW 21300232 E 03/31-19 1 0 0 63 18 N 7 7 4 1 WNW 26 12646 NW 17212427 E 03/31-20 2 0 0 58 24 NNE 6 6 4 1 WNW 24 8709 NNW 13124622 V 03/31-21 3 0 0 52 32 NE 5 5 4 1 WNW 23 4772 N 9 36817 P 03/31-22 10 0 0 48 40 NE 5 5 4 1 WNW 23 3331 N 9 25839 P 03/31-23 16 0 0 45 48 NE 6 6 3 1 W 24 1890 NNE 9 14861 P 04/01-00 23 1 0 43 55 NE 6 6 3 1 W 25 449 NE 10 3882 P 04/01-01 31 1 0 41 61 NE 6 6 3 1 W 25 532 NE 10 4497 P 04/01-02 40 1 0 39 67 NE 5 5 2 1 W 25 615 NE 9 5112 P 04/01-03 49 1 0 36 75 NE 5 5 2 1 WSW 25 698 ENE 9 5727 P 04/01-04 59 1 0 35 79 NE 5 5 2 1 W 25 844 ENE 8 5519 P 04/01-05 78 1 0 34 84 ENE 5 5 2 1 W 25 990 E 7 5310 P 04/01-06 87 10 2 34 85 ENE 5 5 2 1 W 25 1136 E 5 5102 P 04/01-07 87 10 2 36 81 E 5 5 2 1 W 26 2023 ESE 8 16785 P 04/01-08 87 10 2 38 77 E 6 6 2 1 W 28 2911 SSE 10 28468 P 04/01-09 81 10 2 41 70 E 7 7 2 1 W 28 3799 SSE 13 41789 F 04/01-10 81 10 2 43 65 E 8 8 2 1 W 30 4156 SSE 13 44609 F 04/01-11 81 10 2 45 60 E 9 14 2 1 W 30 4514 SSE 12 47428 F 04/01-12 81 29 8 47 56 ESE 10 16 2 1 W 30 4871 SSE 12 50248 F 04/01-13 81 29 8 48 54 ESE 10 16 2 1 W 26 4947 SSE 12 48268 F 04/01-14 81 29 8 49 53 ESE 10 16 2 1 W 22 5023 SSE 10 46287 F 04/01-15 81 29 8 50 52 SE 10 16 2 1 W 18 5100 SSE 10 44306 F 04/01-16 81 29 8 51 49 SE 12 16 2 1 W 17 5469 SE 9 44794 F 04/01-17 81 29 8 51 48 ESE 12 18 2 1 WSW 15 5838 SE 9 45282 F 04/01-18 95 53 28 46 58 ESE 13 20 2 1 WSW 14 6206 ESE 8 45769 F 04/01-19 95 53 28 45 62 ESE 13 20 2 1 WSW 14 4294 ESE 8 31761 P 04/01-20 95 53 28 42 72 ESE 13 20 2 1 SSW 14 2381 ESE 9 17752 P 04/01-21 95 53 28 40 82 ESE 13 20 2 1 SSW 14 468 ESE 9 3744 P 04/01-22 95 53 28 38 90 ESE 12 18 2 1 SSW 13 1139 SE 9 8021 P 04/01-23 95 53 28 37 94 SE 12 17 2 1 SSW 12 1809 SSE 8 12226 P 04/02-00 93 54 29 37 92 SE 10 16 2 1 SSW 9 2480 S 8 16431 P 04/02-01 93 54 29 35 97 SE 9 14 2 1 SW 8 2326 SSE 7 14668 P 04/02-02 93 54 29 34 96 ESE 9 9 2 1 W 8 2172 SSE 7 12906 P 04/02-03 93 54 29 32 00 E 8 8 2 1 W 7 2018 SE 7 11143 P 04/02-04 93 54 29 31 00 E 7 7 2 1 W 7 2118 SE 6 10030 P 04/02-05 93 54 29 30 00 E 7 7 2 1 W 8 2218 ESE 5 8917 P 04/02-06 77 39 17 30 00 E 7 7 2 1 WSW 7 2317 E 3 7805 P 04/02-07 77 39 17 32 99 ESE 7 7 2 1 WSW 6 2774 E 6 14785 P 04/02-08 77 39 17 35 91 ESE 8 8 2 1 SW 2 3230 ENE 7 21766 P 04/02-09 77 39 17 38 82 ESE 8 8 2 1 CALM 3686 NE 9 28746 P 04/02-10 77 39 17 40 74 ESE 8 8 2 1 CALM 4557 NE 9 38983 P 04/02-11 77 39 17 43 63 ESE 7 7 2 1 SE 2 5428 ENE 10 49219 F 04/02-12 73 46 23 44 58 ESE 7 7 2 1 ESE 3 6300 E 10 59455 F 04/02-13 73 46 23 46 52 ESE 7 7 2 1 E 3 7064 E 9 56161 F 04/02-14 73 46 23 48 48 SE 8 8 2 1 E 3 7828 ENE 8 52866 F 04/02-15 73 46 23 49 46 SE 8 8 2 1 ENE 2 8592 ENE 7 49572 F 04/02-16 73 46 23 50 44 SE 8 8 2 1 NE 3 8665 ENE 6 43084 F 04/02-17 73 46 23 50 44 SE 7 7 2 1 NNE 3 8738 ENE 5 36597 P 04/02-18 71 41 18 49 46 SE 7 7 2 1 N 5 8810 ENE 3 30110 P 04/02-19 71 41 18 47 50 SE 7 7 2 1 N 6 7763 E 3 26357 P 04/02-20 71 41 18 44 57 SSE 7 7 2 1 NNE 7 6716 ESE 3 22604 P 04/02-21 71 41 18 41 65 SSE 7 7 2 1 NNE 7 5668 SE 3 18851 P 04/02-22 71 41 18 38 74 SSE 7 7 2 1 NNE 9 4752 SSE 5 16942 P 04/02-23 71 41 18 37 78 S 6 6 2 1 NE 10 3835 S 5 15034 P 04/03-00 53 32 11 36 82 S 6 6 2 1 ENE 10 2919 SSW 5 13126 P 04/03-01 53 32 11 35 84 S 6 6 2 1 ENE 10 2251 SSW 6 10630 P 04/03-02 53 32 11 33 88 S 7 7 2 1 ENE 9 1583 SSW 7 8135 P 04/03-03 53 32 11 32 89 S 7 7 2 1 NE 9 915 SSW 7 5639 P 04/03-04 53 32 11 31 88 SSW 7 7 2 1 NE 10 891 SSW 7 5076 P 04/03-05 53 32 11 31 84 SSW 7 7 2 1 NE 13 867 SSW 6 4512 P 04/03-06 31 2 0 32 78 SSW 7 7 2 1 NE 14 842 SSW 6 3948 P 04/03-07 31 2 0 34 71 SW 6 6 2 1 NE 15 1998 WSW 5 5090 P 04/03-08 31 2 0 37 63 WSW 6 6 2 1 NE 15 3154 WNW 3 6231 P 04/03-09 31 2 0 41 55 WSW 5 5 2 1 NE 15 4310 NW 2 7372 P 04/03-10 31 2 0 45 49 W 5 5 2 1 NNE 15 5971 NNW 3 18209 P 04/03-11 31 2 0 49 44 W 3 3 3 1 NNE 14 7633 N 3 29047 P 04/03-12 46 3 1 52 41 W 3 3 3 1 NNE 14 9294 N 5 39885 P 04/03-13 46 3 1 54 38 WNW 3 3 3 1 N 13 10212 N 6 50969 F 04/03-14 46 3 1 56 35 NW 2 2 4 1 N 13 11129 NNW 6 62052 G 04/03-15 46 3 1 58 32 NNW 2 2 4 1 N 14 12046 NNW 7 73136 G 04/03-16 46 3 1 59 30 N 2 2 4 1 NNW 16 11958 NNW 8 82071 G 04/03-17 46 3 1 60 29 NNE 2 2 3 1 NNW 18 11869 NNW 9 91006 G 04/03-18 44 3 1 58 32 NE 2 2 3 1 NNW 22 11781 NNW 9 99942 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130401.ARSEN.01/BOU