FNUS73 KJKL 031129 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELTON...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 729 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT AND BRING A VERY DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE LAKE CUMBERLAND REGION AND THE SOUTH ZONE. THIS DRY AIRMASS AND THE STRENGTHENING APRIL SUN WILL LEAD TO LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO NORTHEAST INTO THE CAROLINAS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO THE BURN AREA BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX AROUND 54. HUMIDITY............MIN AROUND 15 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AROUND NOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND NOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND NOON. POP.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH...BRIEFLY EAST AROUND 10 AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AT 8 TO 13 MPH AROUND NOON. DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 46. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........26 23 22 21 23 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............33 38 45 51 54 52 RH..............53 43 30 21 17 19 20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 3 NE 6 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 RIDGETOP WIND...NE 4 NE 5 NE 9 NE 9 NE 10 NE 9 MIX HGT (FT)....100 2900 4000 4500 4600 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 3 E 9 NE 13 NE 8 NE 10 E 8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28 VALLEY...AROUND 34 RIDGE. HUMIDITY............MAX 80 PERCENT VALLEY...66 PERCENT RIDGE. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST AROUND 3 MPH AROUND 2300. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 2300. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 2300. POP.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........25 27 29 32 34 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 43 40 37 35 34 RH..............25 39 49 54 61 66 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 3 E 3 E 3 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGETOP WIND...NE 5 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 200 100 90 70 50 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 NE 3 E3 E 3 E 2 E 2 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN FROM NOON ON...THEN RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX AROUND 53. HUMIDITY............MIN AROUND 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 1600. SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 1600. RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 1600. POP.................90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....32. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........38 57 82 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............33 39 45 49 52 52 RH..............70 60 55 54 54 57 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 3 E 3 E 3 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGETOP WIND...E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 NE 7 NE 7 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 600 1100 1900 2000 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 1 SE 7 E 15 E 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...BONITA JOHNSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130402.SHELT.01/JKL