FNUS73 KJKL 031553 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY FORK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1153 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1123 EDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT AND BRING A VERY DRY AIR MASS ACROSS EASTERN KY. THIS AND THE STRENGTHENING APRIL SUN WILL LEAD TO LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GENERALLY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ON THE RIDGES. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO NORTHEAST INTO THE CAROLINAS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION BY LATE THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY. RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HIGHER NEARER TO THE VA AND TN BORDERS...WITH THE LIGHTEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND... PROVIDING MILDER AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....35. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........8 10 13 15 15 15 16 16 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 45 47 49 51 52 53 53 52 RH..............31 27 23 20 18 16 16 16 18 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 6 7 7 7 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N NE NE RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.5 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 8 7 7 8 9 10 12 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........17 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 21 22 22 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 48 45 43 41 40 40 39 38 37 36 36 RH..............21 25 30 34 37 40 42 43 44 45 47 49 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E SE S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 8 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN IN THE EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH. POP.................80 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....28. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........22 30 46 61 77 92 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............35 36 40 44 47 50 53 54 56 56 55 54 RH..............52 52 47 44 41 40 38 38 38 40 43 47 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE E E E NE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE E E E NE RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.3 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SE SE S S S SE SE SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.0 3 7 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...RAY REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130403.DRYFO.01/JKL