FNUS73 KJKL 041043 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 643 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1123 EDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...RESIDUAL DRY AIR BEHIND A DEPARTING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES SHORTLY AFTER DAWN THIS MORNING HOURS. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE DRY FORK FIRE AREA... AND RAIN WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE IN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...NORTH OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRAVERSING THE GULF COAST STATES AND IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION. THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW DEPARTING THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON FRIDAY...ENDING RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING MILDER AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SPRINKLES POSSIBLE LATE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN FROM 1400 ON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX AROUND 53. HUMIDITY............AROUND 43 PERCENT EARLY...HUMIDITY GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 1800. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 1800. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 1800. POP.................50 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 300 FT AGL EARLY...BECOMING 1200-1700 FT AGL AROUND 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH AROUND 1400. DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 26. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........86 88 93 98 99 100 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE SPRNKLS RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............36 42 46 50 51 51 RH..............44 44 48 52 57 62 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 RIDGETOP WIND...E 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 E 6 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 1500 1400 1600 1700 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 SE 14 SE 18 SE 10 SE 8 SE 7 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY...THEN SPRINKLES POSSIBLE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AROUND 0000...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 3 MPH AROUND 0400. SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 0000...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 0400. RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 0000...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AROUND 0400. POP.................40 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........100 97 94 89 84 76 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............49 45 42 40 39 37 RH..............67 72 76 80 81 84 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 NE 3 NE 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 RIDGETOP WIND...E 5 E 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 5 N 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 800 600 500 600 500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 SE 3 S 3 W 6 NW 13 W 9 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 8 MPH AROUND 1200...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 1700. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH AROUND 1200...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH AROUND 1700. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH AROUND 1200...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH AROUND 1700. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 2200-4100 FT AGL AROUND 1100...THEN INCREASING TO 4100-4900 FT AGL BY 1400. MAX 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH BY 1400. DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 54. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........59 40 33 28 27 26 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 44 52 57 59 59 RH..............89 65 49 37 34 34 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 5 N 7 N 8 N 8 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 RIDGETOP WIND...N 5 N 7 N 9 N 10 N 10 NW 10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 2200 3200 4500 4800 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..N 4 NE 6 N 13 NW 12 NW 13 NW 14 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130403.DRYFO.01/JKL