FNUS73 KLSX 031258
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEARPAW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
758 AM CDT WED APR 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW WILL VEER TO THE EAST TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY.  THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST WIND 2-3 MPH EARLY...EAST WIND 3-4 MPH
                    AT IGNITION.  ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WIND 7 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7682 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....EAST WIND 2 -3 MPH EARLY, BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........EAST WIND 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .4
WIND...20 FT........NORTHEAST WIND 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5687 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130403.BEARP.01/LSX