FNUS73 KLSX 031427
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELVINS WOODLAND...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
927 AM CDT WED APR 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW WILL VEER TO THE EAST TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY.  THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH.  WIND WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.  FRIDAY SHOULD BE WARM AND DRY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.  SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE
THE WARMING TREND WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 70...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WIND 7 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4600 FT AGL
                    AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7211 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........EAST WIND 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT FROM MID EVENING THROUGH THE
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5546 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...JPK
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE HUBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130403.ELVIN.01/LSX