FNUS72 KMFL 031020
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CW 28 BRIGHTON...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
620 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO BREAK DOWN. THIS IS ALLOWING THE ATMOSPHERE
TO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND INSTABILITY, THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SOME SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. FOR
THIS MORNING, PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE, AND WHAT DOES FORM SHOULD BURN OFF
AROUND 9 AM. THE GENERAL WIND FLOW WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST, WITH SOME
SEA BREEZE AND POSSIBLY A LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH
COULD CAUSE THE WINDS TO SHIFT SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON, AND POSSIBLY SOME
SLIGHT AUGMENTATION OF THE GENERAL WIND. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 1 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 14 TO
                    16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 54 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........37     37     37     54     54     54
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............69     80     85     85     83     78
RH..............86     58     48     48     52     63
20 FT WIND......E 1    SE 7   SE 7   SE 6   SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   4000   4000   4000   4000   4000
MIXNG WIND......E 1    SE 15  SE 15  SE 14  SE 16  SE 16
DISPERSION IDX..4      57     57     51     45     45
LVORI...........5      1      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 16 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 56 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130403.CW28B.01/MFL